2021 Fantasy Baseball Possible Busts
Our Boom/Bust pages allows you to compare a projection system to an ADP/Rankings list to see the differences, and more specifically, players to target and players to avoid on draft day. Pick a projection system and then an ADP/Rankings list to see the comparisons.

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Player Team POSProjection SystemADP TypeSystem RankADP RankProj ValADP ValValue Difference
Walker Buehler LAD SP CompositeNFBC761913.8429.16-15.32
Kyle Lewis SEA OF CompositeNFBC483103-3.6211.39-15.01
Austin Meadows TB DH CompositeNFBC31978-0.5813.74-14.32
Lucas Giolito CWS SP CompositeNFBC802113.5327.66-14.13
Jack Flaherty STL SP CompositeNFBC852912.7325.33-12.60
Zach Plesac CLE SP CompositeNFBC188594.2216.17-11.95
Aaron Nola PHI SP CompositeNFBC622315.8326.99-11.16
Aaron Judge NYY OF CompositeNFBC158516.8217.65-10.83
Gavin Lux LAD 2B CompositeNFBC1275189-6.004.20-10.20
Zac Gallen ARI SP CompositeNFBC1104010.8920.98-10.09
Dominic Smith NYM OF CompositeNFBC217872.9012.71-9.81
Jarred Kelenic SEA OF CompositeNFBC1515197-6.003.70-9.70
Luis Castillo CIN SP CompositeNFBC592716.1725.80-9.63
Dylan Moore SEA 2B CompositeNFBC2811180.6010.14-9.54
Trey Mancini BAL OF CompositeNFBC1391214-6.003.02-9.02
Chris Sale BOS SP CompositeNFBC1130216-6.002.93-8.93
Dylan Carlson STL OF CompositeNFBC334139-1.077.84-8.91
James Karinchak CLE RP CompositeNFBC2651201.069.78-8.72
Yu Darvish CHC SP CompositeNFBC411720.9629.64-8.68
Shohei Ohtani LAA SP CompositeNFBC1084222-6.002.66-8.66
Andres Gimenez NYM 2B CompositeNFBC680218-5.742.84-8.58
Corbin Burnes MIL SP CompositeNFBC144607.5916.12-8.53
Mitch Garver MIN C CompositeNFBC739241-6.001.95-7.95
Nick Senzel CIN CF CompositeNFBC1254243-6.001.91-7.91
Ke'Bryan Hayes PIT 3B CompositeNFBC305142-0.247.67-7.91
Clayton Kershaw LAD SP CompositeNFBC523117.2725.15-7.88
Jorge Alfaro MIA C CompositeNFBC783244-6.001.88-7.88
Gleyber Torres NYY SS CompositeNFBC147667.4015.13-7.73
Ian Anderson ATL SP CompositeNFBC181865.0812.71-7.63
Sandy Alcantara MIA SP CompositeNFBC2531271.408.94-7.54
Will Smith LAD C CompositeNFBC2121133.0610.54-7.48
Bobby Dalbec BOS 3B CompositeNFBC1168251-6.001.47-7.47
Kris Bryant CHC 3B CompositeNFBC2691320.928.38-7.46
Matt Chapman OAK 3B CompositeNFBC2111153.0710.26-7.19
Yasiel Puig FA DH CompositeNFBC1321262-6.001.12-7.12
Garrett Hampson COL 2B CompositeNFBC1272264-6.001.10-7.10
Trevor Rosenthal FA RP CompositeNFBC335169-1.115.96-7.07
Sixto Sanchez MIA SP CompositeNFBC1981113.6810.65-6.97
Jo Adell LAA OF CompositeNFBC1355269-6.000.92-6.92
Cavan Biggio TOR 2B CompositeNFBC122559.6016.48-6.88
Buster Posey SF C CompositeNFBC1430271-6.000.82-6.82
Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B CompositeNFBC303160-0.186.61-6.79
Devin Williams MIL SP CompositeNFBC2781480.687.32-6.64
Max Fried ATL SP CompositeNFBC1135310.5417.06-6.52
Kenta Maeda MIN SP CompositeNFBC934712.2818.75-6.47
Clint Frazier NYY OF CompositeNFBC314170-0.495.95-6.44
Jonathan Villar FA 2B CompositeNFBC2231252.629.05-6.43
Nate Pearson TOR SP CompositeNFBC507226-3.922.50-6.42
Bo Bichette TOR SS CompositeNFBC351823.2629.55-6.29
Joey Bart SF C CompositeNFBC1304289-6.000.20-6.20
David Dahl COL OF CompositeNFBC1274290-6.000.16-6.16
Jorge Soler KAN DH CompositeNFBC2681510.947.07-6.13
Pedro Severino BAL C CompositeNFBC859292-6.000.09-6.09
Julio Urias LAD SP CompositeNFBC1731005.5111.58-6.07
Tyler Glasnow TB SP CompositeNFBC874912.7118.69-5.98
Carson Kelly ARI C CompositeNFBC695297-5.94-0.07-5.87
Hunter Dozier KAN OF CompositeNFBC478230-3.482.38-5.86
Mitch Haniger SEA OF CompositeNFBC1290303-6.00-0.18-5.82
Yoan Moncada CWS 3B CompositeNFBC152846.9912.74-5.75
Willie Calhoun TEX DH CompositeNFBC1257306-6.00-0.26-5.74
Dansby Swanson ATL SS CompositeNFBC1721045.6411.37-5.73
Alex Kirilloff MIN OF CompositeNFBC1281309-6.00-0.31-5.69
Sonny Gray CIN SP CompositeNFBC1156110.2615.95-5.69
Michael Kopech CWS SP CompositeNFBC449228-3.142.50-5.64
Stephen Strasburg WAS SP CompositeNFBC134768.2213.84-5.62
Brandon Lowe TB 2B CompositeNFBC126728.9814.54-5.56
Triston McKenzie CLE SP CompositeNFBC2381442.057.59-5.54
Danny Jansen TOR C CompositeNFBC707315-6.00-0.50-5.50
Tom Murphy SEA C CompositeNFBC1333319-6.00-0.58-5.42
Ryan McMahon COL 2B CompositeNFBC527256-4.041.32-5.36
David Price LAD SP CompositeNFBC2441491.887.23-5.35
Alex Bregman HOU 3B CompositeNFBC473318.7524.07-5.32
MacKenzie Gore SD SP CompositeNFBC424227-2.812.50-5.31
Leody Taveras TEX OF CompositeNFBC407220-2.582.72-5.30
Scott Kingery PHI 2B CompositeNFBC1295321-6.00-0.70-5.30
Manuel Margot TB OF CompositeNFBC500252-3.841.45-5.29
Cristian Javier HOU SP CompositeNFBC304180-0.185.10-5.28
Joey Gallo TEX OF CompositeNFBC2761680.726.00-5.28
Max Muncy LAD 1B CompositeNFBC161986.6111.87-5.26
Austin Slater SF DH CompositeNFBC1332322-6.00-0.75-5.25
C.J. Cron FA 1B CompositeNFBC1258323-6.00-0.76-5.24
Dylan Bundy LAA SP CompositeNFBC159976.7611.96-5.20
Mike Moustakas CIN 2B CompositeNFBC2051293.508.66-5.16
Kole Calhoun ARI OF CompositeNFBC528263-4.051.10-5.15
Luis Severino NYY SP CompositeNFBC1135328-6.00-0.94-5.06
Noah Syndergaard NYM SP CompositeNFBC1133329-6.00-0.95-5.05
Starlin Castro WAS 2B CompositeNFBC1278338-6.00-1.17-4.83
Amed Rosario NYM SS CompositeNFBC811339-6.00-1.20-4.80
Brandon Woodruff MIL SP CompositeNFBC584116.2320.96-4.73
Casey Mize DET SP CompositeNFBC626312-5.12-0.48-4.64
Ryan Jeffers MIN C CompositeNFBC756341-6.00-1.36-4.64
Joe Wendle TB 3B CompositeNFBC599307-4.89-0.28-4.61
Oscar Mercado CLE CF CompositeNFBC1297342-6.00-1.40-4.60
James McCann FA C CompositeNFBC400235-2.452.13-4.58
Jameson Taillon PIT SP CompositeNFBC377229-2.142.43-4.57
Eric Hosmer SD 1B CompositeNFBC1951343.708.22-4.52
Garrett Cooper MIA OF CompositeNFBC1262348-6.00-1.48-4.52
Max Stassi LAA C CompositeNFBC1273349-6.00-1.51-4.49
Edwin Rios LAD 3B CompositeNFBC1288350-6.00-1.57-4.43
Tyler Mahle CIN SP CompositeNFBC2751780.755.15-4.40
Jordan Hicks STL RP CompositeNFBC485274-3.640.75-4.39
Nick Castellanos CIN OF CompositeNFBC121759.7614.15-4.39
Marcus Stroman NYM SP CompositeNFBC405246-2.561.82-4.38
Frankie Montas OAK SP CompositeNFBC2061413.367.70-4.34
Matt Olson OAK 1B CompositeNFBC138927.9612.29-4.33
Blake Snell TB SP CompositeNFBC795013.7118.03-4.32
Omar Narvaez MIL C CompositeNFBC1271357-6.00-1.69-4.31
Jared Walsh LAA 1B CompositeNFBC298188-0.074.22-4.29
Jacob Stallings PIT C CompositeNFBC821359-6.00-1.73-4.27
Jesse Winker CIN OF CompositeNFBC320201-0.633.63-4.26
Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B CompositeNFBC2041403.517.75-4.24
Cedric Mullins BAL CF CompositeNFBC1360363-6.00-1.81-4.19
Jeimer Candelario DET 1B CompositeNFBC372233-1.972.21-4.18
Tyler Stephenson CIN C CompositeNFBC1718365-6.00-1.85-4.15
Shogo Akiyama CIN OF CompositeNFBC1286367-6.00-1.87-4.13
Alejandro Kirk TOR C CompositeNFBC729370-6.00-1.95-4.05
Cristian Pache ATL OF CompositeNFBC1279374-6.00-2.06-3.94
Domingo German NYY SP CompositeNFBC501294-3.850.05-3.90
Evan White SEA 1B CompositeNFBC1240378-6.00-2.14-3.86
Garrett Crochet CWS SP CompositeNFBC1110377-6.00-2.14-3.86
Chris Paddack SD SP CompositeNFBC1481077.3211.16-3.84
Anthony Santander BAL OF CompositeNFBC2301652.386.19-3.81
Michael Chavis BOS OF CompositeNFBC1097380-6.00-2.21-3.79
Willy Adames TB SS CompositeNFBC437272-3.000.78-3.78
Nate Lowe TB 1B CompositeNFBC1621384-6.00-2.23-3.77
Jacoby Jones DET OF CompositeNFBC1285388-6.00-2.34-3.66
Joc Pederson FA LF CompositeNFBC830389-6.00-2.35-3.65
Franchy Cordero KAN OF CompositeNFBC1368390-6.00-2.35-3.65
Yandy Diaz TB 1B CompositeNFBC1268397-6.00-2.43-3.57
Luis Urias MIL 3B CompositeNFBC1251400-6.00-2.45-3.55
Lance Lynn TEX SP CompositeNFBC926212.2915.83-3.54
Giancarlo Stanton NYY DH CompositeNFBC1501127.0710.60-3.53
Brian Anderson MIA 3B CompositeNFBC2891940.203.70-3.50
Sam Hilliard COL CF CompositeNFBC1302405-6.00-2.56-3.44
Jazz Chisholm MIA SS CompositeNFBC1608406-6.00-2.58-3.42
Trent Grisham SD OF CompositeNFBC825613.0016.39-3.39
DJ LeMahieu FA 2B CompositeNFBC362422.9326.31-3.38
Kyle Seager SEA 3B CompositeNFBC389266-2.351.02-3.37
Josh Naylor CLE OF CompositeNFBC726410-6.00-2.64-3.36
Clarke Schmidt NYY SP CompositeNFBC737411-6.00-2.65-3.35
Daniel Hudson WAS RP CompositeNFBC416281-2.740.60-3.34
Andrew Stevenson WAS OF CompositeNFBC1263415-6.00-2.73-3.27
Zach Davies SD SP CompositeNFBC2922060.093.36-3.27
Michael Brosseau TB 3B CompositeNFBC1385416-6.00-2.74-3.26
Jonathan Schoop FA 2B CompositeNFBC616362-5.06-1.80-3.26
Gregory Polanco PIT OF CompositeNFBC1244417-6.00-2.75-3.25
Mitch Keller PIT SP CompositeNFBC438288-3.000.23-3.23
Martin Maldonado HOU C CompositeNFBC1289420-6.00-2.79-3.21
Victor Caratini CHC C CompositeNFBC1269421-6.00-2.79-3.21
Rougned Odor TEX 2B CompositeNFBC1266423-6.00-2.81-3.19
Matt Manning DET SP CompositeNFBC1086424-6.00-2.81-3.19
Luis Garcia WAS 2B CompositeNFBC1338422-6.00-2.81-3.19
Kyle Higashioka NYY C CompositeNFBC1316428-6.00-2.87-3.13
Roberto Perez CLE C CompositeNFBC1329430-6.00-2.88-3.12
Teoscar Hernandez TOR OF CompositeNFBC946712.0115.12-3.11
Jared Oliva PIT OF CompositeNFBC1615432-6.00-2.90-3.10
Ty France SEA DH CompositeNFBC529331-4.06-0.98-3.08
Miguel Andujar NYY LF CompositeNFBC1556435-6.00-2.93-3.07
Bryan Garcia DET RP CompositeNFBC698433-5.96-2.91-3.05
Luis Patino SD SP CompositeNFBC692431-5.90-2.89-3.01
Carter Kieboom WAS 3B CompositeNFBC1336441-6.00-3.04-2.96
Hunter Harvey BAL RP CompositeNFBC642396-5.36-2.43-2.93
Brandon Belt SF 1B CompositeNFBC584364-4.73-1.82-2.91
Shin-Soo Choo FA DH CompositeNFBC1256446-6.00-3.10-2.90
Spencer Howard PHI SP CompositeNFBC550344-4.31-1.41-2.90
Travis Shaw TOR 3B CompositeNFBC1235448-6.00-3.12-2.88
Josh Fuentes COL 1B CompositeNFBC1205451-6.00-3.18-2.82
Brandon Nimmo NYM OF CompositeNFBC333247-1.061.72-2.78
Sam Huff TEX C CompositeNFBC561353-4.43-1.65-2.78
Nico Hoerner CHC 2B CompositeNFBC860454-6.00-3.24-2.76
Mike Clevinger SD SP CompositeNFBC997311.6614.42-2.76
Edward Olivares KAN CF CompositeNFBC1308459-6.00-3.27-2.73
Antonio Senzatela COL SP CompositeNFBC892461-6.00-3.28-2.72
Gary Sanchez NYY C CompositeNFBC2641921.103.81-2.71
Marwin Gonzalez FA 3B CompositeNFBC1325463-6.00-3.32-2.68
Asdrubal Cabrera FA 1B CompositeNFBC1270464-6.00-3.32-2.68
Brendan Rodgers COL 2B CompositeNFBC1563467-6.00-3.34-2.66
Nomar Mazara CWS OF CompositeNFBC1283469-6.00-3.35-2.65
Josh Bell PIT 1B CompositeNFBC2221772.665.31-2.65
Rio Ruiz BAL 3B CompositeNFBC1248470-6.00-3.36-2.64
Niko Goodrum DET SS CompositeNFBC645419-5.40-2.77-2.63
Austin Hays BAL OF CompositeNFBC307232-0.282.35-2.63
Andrew Benintendi BOS OF CompositeNFBC2862110.443.07-2.63
Rowdy Tellez TOR DH CompositeNFBC378283-2.140.48-2.62
Wilmer Flores SF 2B CompositeNFBC412299-2.68-0.07-2.61
Luis Torrens SEA C CompositeNFBC1115471-6.00-3.39-2.61
Jeremy Jeffress FA RP CompositeNFBC491336-3.74-1.15-2.59
Khris Davis OAK DH CompositeNFBC1249475-6.00-3.43-2.57
Tyler O'Neill STL DH CompositeNFBC1311474-6.00-3.43-2.57
Danny Santana TEX 1B CompositeNFBC1265476-6.00-3.44-2.56
Jose Berrios MIN SP CompositeNFBC1178810.1612.70-2.54
Vidal Brujan TB 2B CompositeNFBC1599478-6.00-3.48-2.52
Roman Quinn PHI OF CompositeNFBC656437-5.51-3.00-2.51
Tucker Barnhart CIN C CompositeNFBC1277479-6.00-3.50-2.50
Stephen Piscotty OAK OF CompositeNFBC678456-5.74-3.25-2.49
Jeff McNeil NYM 2B CompositeNFBC1271028.9411.40-2.46
Evan Longoria SF 3B CompositeNFBC614409-5.05-2.62-2.43
Bryce Harper PHI OF CompositeNFBC272025.8028.22-2.42
Austin Barnes LAD C CompositeNFBC1317484-6.00-3.63-2.37
Zack Wheeler PHI SP CompositeNFBC1078011.1613.53-2.37
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo TB DH CompositeNFBC1472485-6.00-3.64-2.36
Yan Gomes WAS C CompositeNFBC538361-4.14-1.78-2.36
Justin Dunn SEA SP CompositeNFBC681472-5.75-3.40-2.35
Robbie Grossman FA LF CompositeNFBC611412-5.02-2.68-2.34
Dane Dunning CWS SP CompositeNFBC370287-1.950.38-2.33
Luke Voit NYY 1B CompositeNFBC705414.6216.95-2.33
Kevin Newman PIT 2B CompositeNFBC1242487-6.00-3.68-2.32
Adam Frazier PIT