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Francisco Liriano -
Pittsburgh Pirates
Age: 29
Position Eligibility:
SP-28
RP-6
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Last Update: 5/18/2013
| System | Position | Team | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | Walks | Value |
| Composite | SP | PIT | 119 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3.93 | 1.34 | 118 | 53 | $-0 |
| RotoChamp | SP | PIT | 125 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 4.61 | 1.46 | 126 | 65 | $-9 |
| Steamer-Razzball | SP | PIT | 134 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3.88 | 1.32 | 128 | 60 | $1 |
| FanGraphs Fans | SP | PIT | 161 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4.25 | 1.40 | 165 | 78 | $-5 |
| ZIPS | SP | PIT | 155 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3.72 | 1.32 | 155 | 68 | $4 |
| CAIRO | SP | PIT | 155 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3.92 | 1.31 | 159 | 68 | $0 |
| ROS (BETA) | SP | PIT | 92 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4.50 | 1.45 | 95 | 46 | $-10 |
| Current | SP | PIT | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.64 | 1.55 | 16 | 5 | $-0 |
Click here to see how we generate our projections
| Season | G | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | FIP | xFIP |
| 2012 | 34 | 156 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 5.34 | 1.47 | 167 | 87 | 4.34 | 4.14 |
| 2011 | 26 | 134 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 5.09 | 1.49 | 112 | 75 | 4.54 | 4.52 |
| 2010 | 31 | 191 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 3.62 | 1.26 | 201 | 58 | 2.66 | 3.06 |
| 2009 | 29 | 136 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 5.80 | 1.55 | 122 | 65 | 4.87 | 4.55 |
| 2008 | 14 | 76 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3.91 | 1.39 | 67 | 32 | 3.87 | 4.31 |
Allie, Stetson
Alvarez, Pedro
Barmes, Clint
Bell, Josh
Burnett, A.J.
Cole, Gerrit
Grilli, Jason
Hanson, Alen
Harrison, Josh
Heredia, Luis
Hughes, Jared
Inge, Brandon
Jones, Garrett
Karstens, Jeff
Leroux, Chris
Liriano, Francisco
Locke, Jeff
Marte, Starling
Martin, Russell
McCutchen, Andrew
McDonald, James
McDonald, John
McKenry, Michael
McPherson, Kyle
Melancon, Mark
Morris, Bryan
Morton, Charlie
Polanco, Gregory
Presley, Alex
Rodriguez, Wandy
Sanchez, Gaby
Sanchez, Jonathan
Sands, Jerry
Snider, Travis
Tabata, Jose
Taillon, Jameson
Walker, Neil
Watson, Tony
Wilson, Justin
Verlander, Justin - DET
Kershaw, Clayton - LAD
Strasburg, Stephen - WAS
Price, David - TB
Cain, Matt - SF
Dickey, R.A. - TOR
Lee, Cliff - PHI
Weaver, Jered - LAA
Hamels, Cole - PHI
Hernandez, Felix - SEA
Gonzalez, Gio - WAS
Medlen, Kris - ATL
Sabathia, CC - NYY
Sale, Chris - CWS
Bumgarner, Madison - SF
Cueto, Johnny - CIN
Wainwright, Adam - STL
Fister, Doug - DET
Harvey, Matt - NYM
Latos, Mat - CIN
Ogando, Alexi - TEX
Shields, James - KAN
Zimmermann, Jordan - WAS
Darvish, Yu - TEX
Scherzer, Max - DET
Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove Says:
One of the most quoted statistics in the sabermetric community is Fielding Independent Pitching, which tries to find out how well a pitcher actually performed by eliminating the effect of defense on ERA. It does this by measuring only those things which a pitcher is specifically responsible for: walks, strikeouts and home runs. Recently, fantasy players have been used differences between FIP and ERA to find overvalued and undervalued pitchers.
In 2010, Francisco Liriano’s ERA exceeded his FIP by 0.96, the second highest difference among qualified pitchers. The difference was primarily driven by an incredibly unlucky .340 BABIP (which appears to be even more unlucky when taking into account that the Twins had one of the best defenses in the league last year). Looking exclusively at FIP, Liriano appeared to be one of the top ten pitchers in the league last year.
Most people who consistently watched Liriano pitch last year would agree with the FIP assessment. Using a mid-90s fastball and perhaps the best slider in the game, Liriano held hitters to a 73.4% contact rate, best in the major leagues. With so many swings and misses, it’s not surprising that Liriano’s K/9 rate was 9.44, fifth best among qualified starting pitchers. Combine dominant stuff with good control – Liriano had a 2.72 BB/9 rate last year – it’s hard to argue Liriano wasn’t an elite pitcher last year.
When it comes to Liriano there is only one question: Can he give you a full season’s worth of production? He’s never thrown 200 innings and missed all of 2007, most of 2008 and a large portion of 2009 with injuries. He also appeared to tire out last year as his second half stats were significantly worse than his first half stats. For that reason, he should go a little lower in head-to-head drafts with playoffs than in roto leagues.
Projections: Luck will be on Liriano’s side in 2011 and he’ll be on the Cy Young short list.
18 wins, 3.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 211Ks in 200 innings.
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