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Austin Jackson -
Detroit Tigers
Age: 26
Position Eligibility:
CF-137
OF-137
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Last Update: 5/19/2013
| System | Position | Team | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | BB | K | Value |
| Composite | CF | DET | 611 | 96 | 13 | 61 | 17 | 0.270 | 0.344 | 0.414 | 65 | 164 | $14 |
| RotoChamp | CF | DET | 600 | 97 | 14 | 59 | 18 | 0.268 | 0.346 | 0.423 | 68 | 157 | $9 |
| Steamer-Razzball | CF | DET | 616 | 99 | 13 | 65 | 13 | 0.277 | 0.345 | 0.422 | 65 | 160 | $18 |
| FanGraphs Fans | CF | DET | 624 | 108 | 15 | 69 | 22 | 0.285 | 0.358 | 0.442 | 68 | 152 | $17 |
| ZIPS | CF | DET | 586 | 94 | 15 | 57 | 16 | 0.263 | 0.341 | 0.418 | 68 | 160 | $12 |
| CAIRO | CF | DET | 572 | 95 | 12 | 55 | 18 | 0.280 | 0.345 | 0.421 | 57 | 152 | $15 |
| ROS (BETA) | CF | DET | 437 | 71 | 9 | 43 | 13 | 0.272 | 0.347 | 0.416 | 48 | 111 | $9 |
| Current | CF | DET | 151 | 33 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 0.272 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 14 | 33 | $11 |
Click here to see how we generate our projections
| Season | G | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | xBA | BB | K |
| 2012 | 137 | 543 | 163 | 103 | 16 | 66 | 12 | 9 | 0.300 | 0.379 | 0.478 | 0.857 | 0.284 | 67 | 134 |
| 2011 | 153 | 591 | 147 | 90 | 10 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 0.248 | 0.317 | 0.373 | 0.691 | 0.241 | 56 | 181 |
| 2010 | 151 | 618 | 181 | 103 | 4 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0.292 | 0.346 | 0.399 | 0.746 | 0.273 | 47 | 170 |
Alburquerque, Al
Avila, Alex
Below, Duane
Benoit, Joaquin
Berry, Quintin
Cabrera, Miguel
Castellanos, Nick
Coke, Phil
Crosby, Casey
Dirks, Andy
Dotel, Octavio
Fielder, Prince
Fister, Doug
Garcia, Avisail
Hunter, Torii
Infante, Omar
Jackson, Austin
Kelly, Don
Marte, Luis
Martinez, Victor
Pena, Brayan
Peralta, Jhonny
Porcello, Rick
Rondon, Bruce
Sanchez, Anibal
Santiago, Ramon
Scherzer, Max
Smyly, Drew
Verlander, Justin
Villarreal, Brayan
Trout, Mike - LAA
Kemp, Matt - LAD
McCutchen, Andrew - PIT
Hamilton, Josh - LAA
Harper, Bryce - WAS
Jones, Adam - BAL
Ellsbury, Jacoby - BOS
Upton, B.J. - ATL
Bourn, Michael - CLE
Victorino, Shane - BOS
de Aza, Alejandro - CWS
Crisp, Coco - OAK
Jackson, Austin - DET
Granderson, Curtis - NYY
Bonifacio, Emilio - TOR
Fowler, Dexter - COL
Pagan, Angel - SF
Jay, Jon - STL
Span, Denard - WAS
Ruggiano, Justin - MIA
Brantley, Michael - CLE
Gomez, Carlos - MIL
Rasmus, Colby - TOR
Maybin, Cameron - SD
Cain, Lorenzo - KAN
Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove Says:
When the Yankees traded Austin Jackson for Curtis Granderson last year, they did so because they didn’t want a huge hole in their offense. If Brian Cashman knew how well Jackson would hit, I don’t think he makes that trade. Austin Jackson exceeded even the most optimistic projections last year, hitting a surprising .293 while stealing 27 bases and scoring 103 runs. These numbers made him a top 35 outfielder in standard 5x5 leagues. Consequently, he was one of the most important free agent pickups for fantasy players in ten team mixed leagues – particularly if they whiffed on some of their OF draft picks. For AL only and deep mixed leagues where leagues are won by finding value late in the draft, he gave fantasy players a significant advantage over their opponents.
Everybody who I speak with about Austin Jackson has the same comment, “Did you see his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) last year!?! He was lucky. As his BABIP regresses to the mean, his batting average is going to tank. I’m not touching him in this year’s draft.”
While Austin Jackson did have an unsustainable .396 BABIP last year, people are playing the “regress to the mean” card way too hard. Jackson is going to have one of the highest BABIP in the majors because of his skill set. He hits an incredible amount of line drives – his 24.2% LD rate was tied with Joe Mauer for second in the league last year. He also is one of the fastest players in the majors, meaning that he is going to turn more groundballs into hits than most other players. So no, 40% of his balls in play are not going to turn into hits this year. Would it be surprising for him to have a .365 BABIP this year? Not in the slightest.
People also forget that, like most 23 year old rookies, Austin Jackson’s strikeout rate is likely to decrease this year. If his strikeout rate decreases to 24% (from 27.5%) and he has a .360 BABIP in this year, Jackson would have a batting average around .285 – which is higher than most people are predicting.
Projections: Jackson will put up top 30 outfielder statistics but you won’t have to draft him nearly that high.
113 R, 6 HR, 52 RBI, 31 SB, .285 AVG, .755 OPS
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Razzball Says:
Not exactly straight SAGNOF if that’s what you’re into sniffing, but Jackson’s also due for a regression on last year’s average and he doesn’t give that much more than steals. You say tomato, I say the same but with a different emphasis. 2011 Projections: 85/5/40/.265/30
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